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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.250.00vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.23University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.5% | 25.6% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.0% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 14.2% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 3.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 4.9% |
| Erika Barth | 7.1% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 33.2% | 6.9% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.