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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.25+1.00vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.22University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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4.61University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 43.5% | 24.7% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.9% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 3.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 4.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 13.4% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 1.6% |
| Erika Barth | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 21.1% | 32.6% | 7.4% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.