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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+1.85vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.14+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.07+2.35vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.99+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+0.07vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.44+1.21vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.29-0.54vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.29+1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.54+4.36vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.75-1.90vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.95vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.54-0.47vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-5.49vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.23-5.29vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.72-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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5.14Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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5.66Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.21North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.9Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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10.42Embry-Riddle University0.290.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.1University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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10.05Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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12.53Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.71Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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14.68Auburn University-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 31.2% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 6.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Levick | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 30.8% | 38.6% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 8.3% |
| Alex Jones | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| George Koser | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 26.8% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.