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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+1.23vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.73+1.96vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-0.67vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63-0.31vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.02-2.00vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Washington University0.6734.4%1st Place
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3.96Western Michigan University-0.737.2%1st Place
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2.33Ohio State University0.6430.7%1st Place
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3.69Marquette University-0.6310.1%1st Place
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3.0Purdue University0.0216.9%1st Place
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5.79Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 34.4% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 22.9% | 40.8% | 5.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 30.7% | 29.5% | 21.1% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 10.1% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 25.5% | 31.7% | 4.2% |
| Alex Day | 16.9% | 20.9% | 23.3% | 24.7% | 13.1% | 1.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 89.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.