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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+3.08vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.12-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.29+3.69vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.44+2.18vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.14-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.77+2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+0.50vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.29+0.57vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.01vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.23-1.40vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.54-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.54+0.33vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.88-9.10vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.72-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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2.95College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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7.69University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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7.18North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.19Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.14University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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9.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.57Embry-Riddle University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.99Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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10.6Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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12.53Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.9Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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14.69Auburn University-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Martens | 28.6% | 22.1% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Renneker | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Richard McCann | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Reid Levick | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 13.7% | 29.1% | 37.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Koser | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 27.3% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.