Race 5A

saisa-open-eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Frederick Martens 30.6% 21.6% 18.4% 10.2% 7.1% 6.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TJ Danilek 11.0% 12.7% 11.0% 12.5% 12.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.9% 6.9% 3.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 8.8% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 7.6% 5.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard McCann 8.2% 12.3% 10.2% 13.0% 10.2% 10.0% 10.0% 8.2% 7.5% 5.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Renneker 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 6.6% 5.4% 8.7% 10.8% 8.0% 13.9% 10.3% 10.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4%
David Beaudry 4.7% 3.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 9.8% 7.3% 8.4% 9.9% 10.5% 8.6% 7.8% 4.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 9.4% 9.8% 9.0% 11.4% 11.3% 10.8% 9.6% 9.3% 7.0% 5.9% 3.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 11.3% 12.1% 12.5% 12.3% 10.9% 11.4% 9.6% 7.3% 4.7% 4.4% 1.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Tucker 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 9.8% 8.8% 9.7% 8.0% 4.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Maggie Royal 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.8% 11.4% 11.2% 14.5% 13.2% 10.0% 4.5% 0.8%
Teagan Walsh 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 3.8% 2.9% 5.1% 4.3% 7.8% 7.2% 11.0% 12.5% 14.3% 13.9% 7.6% 1.3%
Reid Levick 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 5.4% 5.7% 6.8% 9.0% 10.1% 11.7% 15.9% 12.3% 6.3% 1.9%
Benjamin Tonks 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 4.7% 5.4% 12.5% 29.3% 38.9%
Avery Fulford 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.6% 7.9% 9.3% 12.5% 23.2% 18.8% 7.9%
Alex Jones 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 6.8% 7.0% 8.6% 10.2% 10.9% 12.0% 13.2% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6%
George Koser 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 5.0% 8.3% 27.5% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.