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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+1.87vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+3.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+1.20vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.77+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.29+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07-2.80vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.23+1.57vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.54+3.28vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.44-4.86vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.54-0.49vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-4.50vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.29-5.40vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.72-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.84Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.16Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.19University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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10.57Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.14North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.51Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.6Embry-Riddle University0.290.0%1st Place
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14.67Auburn University-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 29.9% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Renneker | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| David Beaudry | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 28.4% | 40.1% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 8.3% |
| Alex Jones | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Reid Levick | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| George Koser | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 27.2% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.