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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+1.65vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+3.12vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+2.46vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.44+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.070.00vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.28+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.29-0.96vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+0.56vs Predicted
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10Clemson University2.14-5.17vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.77-2.39vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.23-1.85vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.54-0.86vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.29-4.08vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.54-0.89vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.55-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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5.12Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.46Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.78North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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9.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.1University of South Florida0.280.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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9.56Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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4.83Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.61University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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10.15Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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12.14Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.92Embry-Riddle University0.290.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.32Auburn University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 34.3% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Anna Millbourn | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| David Beaudry | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| TJ Danilek | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Renneker | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 17.2% | 3.5% |
| Reid Levick | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 43.3% | 23.8% |
| Brett Latimer | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 17.6% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.