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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.29+5.08vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.77+4.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.12-2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.07-1.01vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.14-2.15vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University0.29+1.93vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.23+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.28+0.08vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.96vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.40vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.44-6.40vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.54-2.01vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.54-2.12vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-4.26-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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5.45Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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8.75University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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2.74College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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4.99University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.85Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.93Embry-Riddle University0.290.0%1st Place
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10.09Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.08University of South Florida0.280.0%1st Place
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9.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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9.6Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.6North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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11.99Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.87Auburn University-4.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Renneker | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Martens | 32.3% | 23.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 13.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Levick | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Anna Millbourn | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.6% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 15.3% | 58.9% | 5.0% |
| Brady Keesee | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 94.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.