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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+1.62vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.10vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.99+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+0.74vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14-0.38vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.29-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.28+1.48vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.44-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.75-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-2.39vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.15-1.27vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.54+0.23vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.54-2.62vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.55-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.83Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.62Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.09Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida0.280.0%1st Place
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6.29North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.29University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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8.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.73Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.38Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.24Auburn University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 35.0% | 23.7% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 10.3% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| David Beaudry | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Millbourn | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Jones | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nick Baker | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 39.7% | 25.1% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 4.1% |
| Brett Latimer | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 19.2% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.