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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+3.88vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+4.27vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.12-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.29+1.80vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.88-0.83vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.14-2.44vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.28+1.48vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.54+3.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.77-2.77vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.54-0.46vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-4.23vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.15-3.46vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.55-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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6.27North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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2.57College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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4.72University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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5.17Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.56Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida0.280.0%1st Place
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9.03Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.23University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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11.54Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.54Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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14.24Auburn University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Martens | 33.7% | 24.4% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 12.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 12.0% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Millbourn | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 39.7% | 24.6% |
| James Renneker | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fulford | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 3.5% |
| Alex Jones | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Baker | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Brett Latimer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 17.4% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.