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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+3.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05+1.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+1.43vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.28-1.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.39+2.13vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.74+2.15vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.07-2.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-6.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-8.20vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut2.51-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.2%1st Place
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4.43Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.44Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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4.91Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.15Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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7.64Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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4.46Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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4.8Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Tanya Cuprak | 24.3% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 13.6% |
| Christopher Calahan | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 35.7% |
| Robert Keller | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 22.5% | 42.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.