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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+6.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.80vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.01+5.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+1.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.49+5.97vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84-0.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85-0.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+2.87vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College-0.06+1.45vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-6.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.20vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-3.35vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.64vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Tufts University1.156.9%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.1714.8%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University1.015.1%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University1.9712.2%1st Place
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10.97Roger Williams University0.492.6%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College1.8410.8%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.858.2%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.9%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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12.45Boston College-0.061.7%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College1.7111.3%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.9%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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13.54Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% |
| bella casaretto | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.