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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.63+2.45vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.10vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-0.83vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73-0.25vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.91-1.22vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Marquette University-0.6311.0%1st Place
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2.1Washington University0.6737.5%1st Place
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2.17Ohio State University0.6433.6%1st Place
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3.75Western Michigan University-0.738.9%1st Place
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3.78Purdue University-0.918.2%1st Place
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5.75Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Paschke | 11.0% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 26.2% | 23.1% | 3.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 37.5% | 29.8% | 20.7% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 33.6% | 32.5% | 20.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 8.9% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 28.0% | 30.8% | 4.5% |
| Ayden Sarber | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 23.3% | 34.4% | 4.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.