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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+1.61vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+2.79vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+2.11vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.29+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.77+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.52vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.14-3.40vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.28+0.45vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.88vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.44-4.55vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.54-0.41vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.15-3.33vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.54-1.86vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.55-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
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4.79Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.11Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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8.18University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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8.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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4.6Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.45University of South Florida0.280.0%1st Place
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9.12Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.45North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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11.59Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.67Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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14.25Auburn University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 34.1% | 24.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Renneker | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Millbourn | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fulford | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 25.4% | 20.7% | 3.7% |
| Nick Baker | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 36.8% | 24.0% |
| Brett Latimer | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 17.2% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.