← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.12+1.62vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.88+3.12vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University2.14+1.51vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.07+0.74vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida1.29+1.81vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.28+3.48vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.99-2.10vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.44-1.59vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina0.77-0.86vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-1.54+3.15vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.95vs Predicted
-
13Rollins College-0.15-2.28vs Predicted
-
14Duke University-0.54-2.47vs Predicted
-
15Auburn University-2.55-0.70vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62College of Charleston3.120.3%1st Place
-
5.12Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.51Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.74University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.81University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
-
9.48University of South Florida0.280.0%1st Place
-
4.9Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
-
6.41North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.05Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
-
10.72Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
11.53Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
14.3Auburn University-2.550.0%1st Place
-
8.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 34.6% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 8.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anna Millbourn | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Ian Willoughby | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Renneker | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 41.8% | 22.7% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Nick Baker | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 25.5% | 19.0% | 4.9% |
| Brett Latimer | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 68.7% |
| Alex Jones | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.