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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.68vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.84+3.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.38+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.68+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.16+4.58vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-3.35vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.25-1.46vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.15+3.96vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+1.14vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.95-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.84+0.29vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.48-1.59vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.04-1.27vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.36-3.86vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.75-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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5.09Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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3.35College of Charleston2.640.2%1st Place
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6.33University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.680.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.65North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.54University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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12.96Rollins College-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.39Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.41Clemson University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.73Georgia Institute of Technology-1.040.0%1st Place
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11.14Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.18Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 18.2% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 22.5% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Scott Harris | 20.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Anderson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 24.9% |
| Robert Williams | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Maner | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| Andrew Hopkins | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Michael Bick | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.