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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.25+3.61vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.68+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.38+0.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.84-1.80vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.95-0.66vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.15+3.96vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.48+1.45vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.16-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.84+0.34vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.90vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-0.36-3.01vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-1.04-2.11vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.75-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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3.56North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.61University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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3.46College of Charleston2.640.2%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida1.680.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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5.2Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.34Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.96Rollins College-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.45Clemson University-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.99Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.89Georgia Institute of Technology-1.040.0%1st Place
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12.17Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 19.3% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 21.3% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 20.4% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Anderson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 24.2% |
| Andrew Hopkins | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Kate Maner | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.3% |
| Robert Williams | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Michael Bick | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.