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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.63+2.44vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.11vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-0.88vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73-0.22vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.91-1.19vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Marquette University-0.6311.5%1st Place
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2.11Washington University0.6735.9%1st Place
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2.12Ohio State University0.6436.7%1st Place
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3.78Western Michigan University-0.737.5%1st Place
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3.81Purdue University-0.917.8%1st Place
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5.73Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Paschke | 11.5% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 26.6% | 23.0% | 2.5% |
| Wyatt Tait | 35.9% | 31.8% | 20.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 36.7% | 31.2% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.5% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 25.7% | 32.0% | 5.0% |
| Ayden Sarber | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 24.6% | 33.0% | 5.8% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.