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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.84+3.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+1.26vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.12+2.86vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.31+3.05vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.46-3.36vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.27-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.16+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.68-4.49vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-0.20vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.99+0.37vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-0.36-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.29-1.23vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-1.04-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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3.26College of Charleston2.640.2%1st Place
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3.53North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Florida1.120.0%1st Place
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7.35Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.05University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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3.64Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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6.55Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.51University of South Florida1.680.1%1st Place
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10.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.37Rollins College-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.85Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Georgia-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.24Georgia Institute of Technology-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Tallman | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 23.0% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 19.6% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| anderson brunsvold | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Telmo Basterra | 18.9% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| emilia giovine | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Brett Putnam | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Williams | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Samantha Capozzi | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 22.6% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Ross Oliver | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 31.6% |
| Michael Bick | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.