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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.72vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+1.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.84+1.98vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.12+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+4.75vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.95+0.35vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.27-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.16+1.25vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.04+2.28vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.36-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.29+0.94vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.99-0.68vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina0.31-6.03vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.68-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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3.43North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.98Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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3.35College of Charleston2.640.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Florida1.120.1%1st Place
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10.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.35Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.28Georgia Institute of Technology-1.040.0%1st Place
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10.7Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Georgia-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.32Rollins College-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.97University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida1.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 18.9% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 20.5% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 10.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 22.0% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| anderson brunsvold | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Williams | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| emilia giovine | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John MacMoyle | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Michael Bick | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 22.3% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Ross Oliver | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 35.3% |
| Samantha Capozzi | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 23.3% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.