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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+1.06vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.64+0.14vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+0.47vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73-0.24vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.91-1.22vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Washington University0.6737.6%1st Place
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2.14Ohio State University0.6435.5%1st Place
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3.47Marquette University-0.639.8%1st Place
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3.76Western Michigan University-0.737.8%1st Place
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3.78Purdue University-0.918.8%1st Place
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5.79Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 37.6% | 33.1% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 35.5% | 30.4% | 21.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 9.8% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 26.1% | 23.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.8% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 26.7% | 31.0% | 4.7% |
| Ayden Sarber | 8.8% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 34.2% | 4.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.