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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.76+1.25vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.05+0.54vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.55+0.16vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.81-0.49vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.31-0.81vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Washington University-0.7632.4%1st Place
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2.54Ohio State University-1.0528.2%1st Place
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3.16Purdue University-1.5518.1%1st Place
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3.51Marquette University-1.8112.0%1st Place
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4.19Western Michigan University-2.317.2%1st Place
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5.34Saginaw Valley State University-3.472.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Adams | 32.4% | 31.5% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexa Hind | 28.2% | 25.9% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Jackson Goehle | 18.1% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Schacht | 12.0% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 7.6% |
| Kate Heaman | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 34.0% | 18.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.