Race 1A

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Gower 16.5% 14.4% 15.0% 11.4% 11.1% 9.1% 7.0% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 5.2% 4.7% 6.7% 6.3% 6.9% 5.7% 9.5% 11.8% 10.0% 11.7% 11.7% 8.2% 1.6%
Ian Willoughby 9.5% 9.0% 9.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Preston Senior 11.3% 10.7% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 9.6% 9.5% 8.4% 7.6% 5.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.4%
TJ Danilek 12.2% 11.1% 11.5% 9.6% 10.1% 9.1% 10.6% 9.1% 6.6% 5.0% 4.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Jenna Probst 11.0% 9.6% 9.9% 9.8% 11.2% 10.1% 8.4% 8.3% 9.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Luca Taglialegne 13.2% 12.7% 10.2% 12.0% 10.7% 10.5% 8.5% 6.9% 6.8% 5.7% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Connor Goulet 4.7% 6.0% 4.0% 7.0% 5.3% 7.5% 7.5% 10.7% 11.1% 12.7% 12.9% 7.8% 2.8%
Ryder Easterlin 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 7.8% 10.2% 10.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Jacob Kinney 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 0.9% 2.1% 3.9% 4.5% 9.9% 23.3% 47.0%
Robert Beauchamp 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 7.5% 12.1% 28.3% 35.6%
Leah Harper 1.6% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 4.8% 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 7.5% 12.7% 20.3% 18.8% 10.6%
Jeffrey Hayden 5.1% 8.3% 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.1% 8.3% 11.4% 10.9% 8.8% 4.1% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.