Race 2A

eckerd-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Gower 15.4% 15.7% 14.1% 10.0% 11.4% 10.5% 9.6% 4.8% 3.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
TJ Danilek 10.6% 11.8% 9.8% 10.3% 11.4% 9.5% 11.0% 7.3% 8.3% 4.3% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Jennifer Killian 4.1% 4.7% 6.5% 7.0% 5.9% 9.6% 7.4% 9.4% 11.1% 14.2% 10.8% 8.0% 1.3%
Leah Harper 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 3.6% 4.1% 4.9% 4.7% 7.1% 9.5% 11.0% 20.7% 19.0% 8.5%
Connor Goulet 5.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 6.0% 6.5% 8.0% 9.0% 10.3% 14.8% 13.4% 7.6% 1.9%
Luca Taglialegne 12.2% 14.0% 11.7% 11.1% 9.7% 10.8% 7.7% 8.7% 5.7% 4.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Preston Senior 11.8% 11.9% 10.8% 9.1% 10.6% 11.1% 9.1% 7.7% 7.3% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Ian Willoughby 9.3% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 8.5% 11.0% 10.2% 8.8% 6.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.6%
Jeffrey Hayden 7.2% 5.6% 7.1% 9.3% 7.9% 8.1% 8.8% 12.7% 10.3% 9.0% 9.3% 3.8% 0.9%
Jenna Probst 11.3% 8.3% 11.4% 9.9% 10.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.4% 8.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Ryder Easterlin 8.8% 10.3% 9.3% 10.2% 9.1% 10.0% 11.7% 8.3% 7.8% 7.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Jacob Kinney 0.6% 0.9% 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.8% 6.3% 8.9% 24.6% 46.7%
Robert Beauchamp 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 0.8% 1.2% 3.1% 4.6% 5.5% 11.5% 28.7% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.