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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+4.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.53+2.47vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+2.18vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+2.78vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.67+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16-1.67vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.99-2.15vs Predicted
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9Clemson University2.14-3.45vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.28-2.20vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.45+0.44vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-5.90vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.18Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.78Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.96Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.55Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.1Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.44Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gower | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Leah Harper | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 8.5% |
| Preston Senior | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Willoughby | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Kinney | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 27.6% | 42.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 25.6% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.