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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+3.83vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.93+3.09vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+1.19vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16-0.60vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.14-1.55vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.99-2.13vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.67+0.43vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-4.09vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.28-3.25vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.45-0.44vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Jacksonville University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.09Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.19Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.67Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.45Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.87Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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5.91Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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11.56North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.36Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Preston Senior | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Leah Harper | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 8.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Kinney | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 26.1% | 46.6% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 29.5% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.