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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.53+5.53vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+4.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.53+0.98vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.99+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.28+2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.67+2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03-1.92vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.14-3.12vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.93-3.78vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26-5.46vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.65vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.45-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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6.0Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.31Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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4.88Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.22Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.54Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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10.35Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.54North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Koules | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Gower | 19.9% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Goulet | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 2.3% |
| Leah Harper | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 22.0% | 20.7% | 8.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 29.3% | 39.3% |
| Jacob Kinney | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 23.8% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.