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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+2.97vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.53+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.28+3.28vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.99+0.45vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26-1.28vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.14-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.67+0.48vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-2.94vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.93-4.50vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.45-0.40vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University2.530.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.72Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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4.96Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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6.06Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.5Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.6North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
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10.45Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Preston Senior | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gower | 17.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Ian Willoughby | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Leah Harper | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 8.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Kinney | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 27.8% | 45.6% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 11.9% | 29.0% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.