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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+4.32vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.97+3.73vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+2.01vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.93+1.83vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14+0.34vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.53-1.73vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.99-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.28-0.59vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.03-4.48vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69-4.36vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.45-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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5.01Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.83Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.34Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.27Jacksonville University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.6Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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10.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.64Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.75North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Senior | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Gower | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Connor Goulet | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 31.9% | 41.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Kinney | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 30.1% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.