← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami0.67+7.52vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.99+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.53+0.97vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.45+6.55vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University2.14-0.08vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.93-0.58vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.53-0.69vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University2.26-3.46vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University1.69-3.15vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.28-2.99vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan2.03-5.73vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.52University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.27Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
-
3.97Jacksonville University2.530.2%1st Place
-
10.55North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
-
4.92Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.42Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.31University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
-
4.54Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
-
5.85Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
-
7.01University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.27University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.37Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Harper | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 9.6% |
| Ian Willoughby | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Gower | 18.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Kinney | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 25.8% | 45.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Koules | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Goulet | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 29.2% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.