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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leah Harper 3.1% 2.4% 3.8% 3.2% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 6.9% 11.0% 23.1% 19.2% 9.6%
Ian Willoughby 9.3% 11.0% 11.8% 11.4% 9.3% 11.2% 9.7% 11.9% 8.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Jack Gower 18.1% 14.8% 14.6% 15.3% 11.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Jacob Kinney 0.7% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% 1.1% 3.5% 6.5% 10.2% 25.8% 45.1%
TJ Danilek 11.5% 14.0% 11.6% 10.9% 10.8% 9.2% 10.5% 9.3% 6.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Ryder Easterlin 9.9% 11.3% 8.9% 8.9% 12.4% 10.9% 10.4% 10.4% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1% 0.1%
Christian Koules 7.6% 6.3% 9.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.8% 9.1% 11.3% 14.1% 10.5% 4.4% 1.4%
Luca Taglialegne 16.2% 12.9% 12.0% 11.9% 10.6% 10.9% 9.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 6.7% 8.7% 9.4% 9.6% 11.5% 11.0% 11.0% 11.1% 9.0% 8.3% 3.3% 0.4%
Connor Goulet 5.6% 5.1% 5.8% 7.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.8% 12.5% 13.8% 13.7% 8.1% 3.0%
Jenna Probst 10.5% 11.5% 10.7% 8.9% 12.3% 9.7% 11.5% 8.8% 8.6% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Robert Beauchamp 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.2% 5.8% 11.3% 29.2% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.