Race 1B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grace Vincens 12.1% 14.0% 13.5% 11.1% 12.7% 9.5% 9.5% 7.2% 6.1% 2.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 24.4% 19.7% 16.7% 13.5% 10.1% 6.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 4.7% 5.9% 10.0% 6.7% 7.8% 10.2% 10.1% 12.2% 11.0% 9.9% 8.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Will Neubauer 3.8% 4.8% 4.2% 5.0% 6.6% 8.7% 8.5% 10.2% 12.4% 13.5% 14.1% 7.0% 1.2%
Kathryn Bornarth 15.6% 14.6% 13.9% 12.1% 11.5% 10.0% 8.1% 5.7% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Youtt 2.9% 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 6.6% 7.6% 10.8% 15.1% 20.2% 13.3% 2.8%
Cameron Douglas 12.1% 11.8% 10.4% 11.3% 12.4% 11.8% 8.5% 7.9% 6.3% 4.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Mitchell Powell 7.9% 9.9% 7.2% 12.3% 8.8% 11.3% 10.3% 12.0% 7.5% 6.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Olivia Keefe 7.8% 6.5% 7.5% 10.5% 8.7% 10.0% 12.4% 10.3% 9.4% 8.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Carrie Marshall 3.8% 5.0% 5.5% 4.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.4% 9.3% 10.9% 13.7% 14.1% 7.4% 1.6%
Mitchell Moore 3.8% 3.7% 6.3% 7.7% 6.7% 7.4% 9.5% 10.0% 13.2% 12.9% 11.4% 6.5% 0.9%
David Sutton 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.1% 2.0% 3.6% 4.2% 6.8% 10.0% 37.3% 29.9%
Jordan Hayes 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 3.0% 5.7% 21.3% 62.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.