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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.67+4.11vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.37+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.26+3.19vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82+0.70vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.46-1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.68+1.61vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94-2.58vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.08-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.28-0.29vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.67-2.30vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.71-3.57vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.69+0.11vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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5.95Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.7Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.27Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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7.61University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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4.42University of South Florida1.940.2%1st Place
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6.55Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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7.7Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.43Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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12.11North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.25Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Douglas | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 25.4% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 15.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 2.8% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Mitchell Moore | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 19.7% | 63.5% |
| David Sutton | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 38.3% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.