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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Douglas 10.0% 11.7% 11.7% 12.0% 10.6% 12.7% 9.6% 7.3% 7.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Mitchell Powell 7.1% 9.4% 8.9% 9.4% 11.0% 9.9% 11.4% 8.8% 9.6% 8.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Olivia Keefe 5.7% 7.7% 9.5% 9.9% 9.7% 8.9% 11.6% 11.8% 9.4% 7.8% 6.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Grace Vincens 13.6% 11.7% 13.8% 12.0% 11.4% 11.4% 7.9% 8.3% 5.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 25.4% 20.8% 15.2% 11.8% 10.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Neubauer 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.1% 7.1% 7.8% 12.2% 12.3% 13.1% 11.8% 8.2% 0.9%
Kathryn Bornarth 15.9% 12.6% 12.6% 14.1% 12.7% 9.7% 7.5% 6.5% 5.1% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 6.1% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 8.5% 10.5% 10.5% 11.1% 11.4% 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.3%
Sarah Youtt 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 9.2% 16.2% 19.8% 14.8% 2.8%
Carrie Marshall 4.7% 3.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 10.0% 9.7% 11.2% 13.4% 14.9% 6.0% 2.0%
Mitchell Moore 3.7% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 8.9% 8.8% 10.7% 12.8% 11.4% 12.5% 6.0% 1.0%
Jordan Hayes 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.7% 5.8% 19.7% 63.5%
David Sutton 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 3.6% 5.8% 12.9% 38.3% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.