Race 3B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kathryn Bornarth 14.0% 14.1% 13.3% 13.3% 11.9% 11.0% 9.2% 4.7% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Mitchell Moore 4.5% 4.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 6.5% 8.3% 11.7% 11.6% 14.6% 13.6% 5.6% 1.1%
Grace Vincens 12.4% 12.5% 12.1% 13.4% 12.6% 10.7% 9.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Douglas 10.4% 11.3% 11.8% 12.5% 11.2% 11.5% 8.7% 8.3% 7.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Mitchell Powell 8.9% 7.9% 11.2% 10.0% 9.1% 10.8% 10.1% 9.5% 9.4% 7.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Telmo Basterra 24.1% 22.1% 15.1% 12.3% 9.9% 7.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.4% 9.4% 10.6% 11.8% 10.3% 8.7% 7.9% 6.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Carrie Marshall 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.2% 7.5% 9.3% 10.0% 12.2% 14.3% 14.1% 6.5% 0.8%
Filip Stevanovic 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.2% 8.1% 9.6% 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 10.4% 8.6% 3.2% 0.4%
Sarah Youtt 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 9.9% 9.5% 14.4% 19.9% 12.8% 4.2%
Will Neubauer 3.7% 4.9% 5.4% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 9.9% 10.3% 13.3% 11.6% 12.3% 6.6% 1.1%
David Sutton 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 3.0% 4.4% 5.6% 10.9% 38.8% 29.6%
Jordan Hayes 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 5.4% 22.1% 62.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.