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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mitchell Moore 4.1% 3.9% 4.6% 6.0% 7.9% 8.5% 8.6% 10.3% 12.1% 12.9% 12.5% 6.8% 1.8%
Carrie Marshall 3.7% 4.5% 5.4% 7.2% 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 11.1% 11.0% 13.3% 14.2% 7.0% 1.4%
Mitchell Powell 7.2% 8.3% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 12.3% 11.6% 10.1% 8.1% 7.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 12.5% 12.8% 14.7% 11.1% 11.3% 11.2% 9.3% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 25.3% 21.5% 14.1% 14.7% 9.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 14.8% 13.5% 15.6% 12.4% 11.3% 10.1% 7.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 9.3% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 10.4% 10.3% 11.3% 9.4% 8.8% 10.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Filip Stevanovic 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 9.9% 11.3% 11.8% 10.4% 7.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Will Neubauer 4.1% 4.7% 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 6.3% 7.7% 10.9% 13.0% 12.7% 14.6% 7.5% 1.4%
Sarah Youtt 2.9% 4.2% 2.7% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 6.7% 8.1% 11.4% 13.2% 19.3% 13.7% 3.9%
David Sutton 0.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 7.3% 12.2% 39.1% 25.4%
Jordan Hayes 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 6.1% 18.5% 65.3%
Cameron Douglas 9.5% 10.8% 13.2% 10.0% 13.1% 10.1% 11.0% 8.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.