← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.71+6.63vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.67+5.66vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University1.37+2.88vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.82+0.69vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.46-1.77vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.94-1.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.26-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University1.08-1.41vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan0.68-1.26vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan0.28-1.36vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+0.13vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University-1.69+0.12vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College1.67-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.63Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
-
7.66Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.88Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.69Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
3.23Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
-
4.42University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.59Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.74University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.64University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.12North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.17Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Moore | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Powell | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 25.3% | 21.5% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 14.8% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Will Neubauer | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 3.9% |
| David Sutton | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 39.1% | 25.4% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 18.5% | 65.3% |
| Cameron Douglas | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.