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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.76+1.32vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.81+1.62vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.99-0.36vs Predicted
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4Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+1.42vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.05-2.27vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.31-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Washington University-0.7633.8%1st Place
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3.62Marquette University-1.8111.8%1st Place
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2.64Purdue University-0.9924.7%1st Place
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5.42Saginaw Valley State University-3.471.6%1st Place
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2.73Ohio State University-1.0522.8%1st Place
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4.26Western Michigan University-2.315.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Adams | 33.8% | 25.7% | 21.4% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schacht | 11.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 24.4% | 24.8% | 8.5% |
| Silas Hokanson | 24.7% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 70.7% |
| Alexa Hind | 22.8% | 24.4% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Kate Heaman | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 36.9% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.