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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.30vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.37+3.74vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.26+2.03vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.36+0.71vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08+0.38vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.67-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.68-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.94-4.57vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.28-1.65vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.33vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.69-0.22vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.58-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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5.74Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.66Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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5.71Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.38Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.96Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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10.67Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.78North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.64Northwestern University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 23.5% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gruskos | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Douglas | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| David Sutton | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 28.7% | 26.7% | 14.3% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 12.6% | 29.1% | 45.0% |
| Cooper Soderlund | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 17.0% | 31.3% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.