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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Telmo Basterra 22.8% 21.5% 16.2% 14.2% 9.5% 7.3% 4.6% 1.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 6.9% 6.6% 10.6% 8.0% 11.9% 9.7% 11.9% 10.3% 11.8% 8.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Grace Vincens 11.9% 12.8% 14.0% 11.5% 11.8% 12.0% 10.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Douglas 11.9% 10.0% 10.8% 14.7% 10.5% 11.2% 9.6% 8.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Gruskos 9.2% 8.5% 9.1% 10.1% 9.8% 10.6% 11.0% 12.1% 9.3% 6.2% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Mitchell Powell 8.1% 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.7% 10.8% 11.3% 10.3% 9.5% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 14.1% 15.8% 12.9% 12.9% 12.4% 11.3% 6.5% 7.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Youtt 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 4.1% 4.7% 5.5% 7.0% 10.2% 14.3% 21.6% 16.6% 5.6% 1.0%
Filip Stevanovic 5.9% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.9% 10.8% 11.6% 12.9% 11.0% 12.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Will Neubauer 5.3% 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 7.6% 7.4% 10.4% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 9.9% 2.9% 1.0%
David Sutton 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 5.9% 10.7% 29.8% 25.9% 14.8%
Cooper Soderlund 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 5.5% 14.3% 30.6% 39.8%
Jordan Hayes 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 4.4% 13.4% 30.4% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.