← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.46+2.43vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.37+4.08vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.67+2.27vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.82+0.86vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University1.36+0.97vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.94-1.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.26-0.78vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University1.08-1.28vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan0.68-1.10vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.71-2.27vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+0.19vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan0.28-3.05vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University-1.69-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.43Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
-
6.08Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.27Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
-
4.86Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.97Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
-
4.52University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.22University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.72Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.9University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
-
7.73Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
-
11.19Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.95University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
-
12.16North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 23.5% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Douglas | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gruskos | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Mitchell Moore | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| David Sutton | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 39.0% | 26.4% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 4.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 20.0% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.