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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.37+5.08vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.46+1.41vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+1.90vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.67+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.26+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94-1.46vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.71+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.68-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.28-0.11vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.36-3.94vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08-4.39vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.68vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.69-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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3.41Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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4.9Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.24Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.54University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.66Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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6.06Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.61Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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11.32Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.17North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powell | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 22.9% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Douglas | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Moore | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 2.8% |
| Robert Gruskos | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| David Sutton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 11.9% | 38.5% | 30.4% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 22.4% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.