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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.37+5.08vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.67+3.29vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+3.83vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.46-0.60vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.71+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.28+1.71vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.36-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.68-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.26-3.75vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+0.20vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.69+0.18vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.29Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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6.83Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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7.68Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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4.52University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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6.03Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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11.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.18North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powell | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Douglas | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Telmo Basterra | 23.2% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Moore | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 3.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| David Sutton | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 39.7% | 26.4% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 17.6% | 66.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.