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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.40vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.36+4.07vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.37+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+0.57vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.67+0.15vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.71+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.68-0.21vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.28-1.20vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.69+1.11vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.68vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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6.07Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.07Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.57University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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5.15Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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7.7Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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6.88Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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12.11North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.32Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.92Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 24.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Powell | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Douglas | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Moore | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Will Neubauer | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 4.1% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 23.3% | 60.2% |
| David Sutton | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 38.1% | 31.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.