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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.25vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.37+3.78vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.67+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+0.37vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+1.42vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.36-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.68-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.28-0.61vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.58+1.54vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.69+0.70vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-1.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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5.78Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.02Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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4.37University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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6.42Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.67Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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11.54Northwestern University-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.7North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.84Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.72Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 25.2% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Douglas | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.2% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gruskos | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Youtt | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Soderlund | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 15.3% | 29.4% | 39.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 16.4% | 28.9% | 40.2% |
| David Sutton | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 26.5% | 28.7% | 18.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.