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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.11vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+7.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.10+1.49vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University-0.64+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.60+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.03+0.73vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03+3.11vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.45-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-5.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.63-2.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-5.49vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.15-5.63vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.15-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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9.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.44Santa Clara University-0.640.1%1st Place
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8.86University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.08University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
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9.73University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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13.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at San Diego-0.450.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Irvine-0.360.1%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.37Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.37Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Todosiev | 20.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.