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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.64+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.12+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.36+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.10+2.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+4.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.44vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University-0.64+0.91vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03+4.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.60-2.06vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.15-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.45-4.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.48vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.15-4.30vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.63-3.88vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Irvine-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Berkeley-0.100.1%1st Place
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9.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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7.91Santa Clara University-0.640.1%1st Place
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12.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.7Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at San Diego-0.450.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.7Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Todosiev | 20.0% | 21.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.