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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.99+1.69vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.05+0.67vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.81+0.62vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.76-1.61vs Predicted
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5Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+0.45vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.31-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Purdue University-0.9923.4%1st Place
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2.67Ohio State University-1.0526.5%1st Place
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3.62Marquette University-1.8110.3%1st Place
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2.39Washington University-0.7630.9%1st Place
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5.45Saginaw Valley State University-3.471.9%1st Place
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4.18Western Michigan University-2.317.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 23.4% | 24.6% | 24.2% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Alexa Hind | 26.5% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schacht | 10.3% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 25.1% | 24.8% | 7.4% |
| Alexandra Adams | 30.9% | 27.4% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 72.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 36.1% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.