← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles0.09+4.29vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.12+3.07vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University-0.64+4.59vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.75+4.04vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.10+1.02vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.18vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+0.47vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-1.37+1.11vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.13vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.96vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-1.15-2.32vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.60-5.23vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-2.02vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.87-3.50vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-1.15-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.29University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
-
5.07University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
-
7.59Santa Clara University-0.640.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.02University of California at Berkeley-0.100.1%1st Place
-
6.75University of California at Irvine-0.360.1%1st Place
-
3.82University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
-
8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
-
10.11University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
9.04University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
9.68Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.77University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
-
11.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.68Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 21.7% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.