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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.64+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.60+4.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.64vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University-0.64+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.20vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.38vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.99-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.45-4.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.63-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.03-4.59vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-2.08vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.43-4.94vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.43-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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7.94University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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8.16Santa Clara University-0.640.1%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Irvine-0.360.1%1st Place
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9.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Berkeley-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego-0.450.1%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Todosiev | 20.8% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Juybari | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.