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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.75+6.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.12+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.36+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.45vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+2.87vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University-0.64+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.55vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.43+0.40vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.99-2.87vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.45-6.97vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.43-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.63-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Irvine-0.360.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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8.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.61Santa Clara University-0.640.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
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10.4Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Berkeley-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at San Diego-0.450.1%1st Place
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10.4Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Vick | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 21.8% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Juybari | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.