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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.19+7.20vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-1.64+7.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.50+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-2.52+8.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.73-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.60vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-0.65-3.49vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.59-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.67-3.03vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.56-4.44vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.64-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.79-2.59vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.84Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Berkeley0.500.2%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Santa Barbara-2.520.0%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Los Angeles0.110.2%1st Place
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6.87University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.4University of California at San Diego-1.210.1%1st Place
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6.51Santa Clara University-0.650.1%1st Place
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8.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.1%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.560.0%1st Place
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9.84Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Davis | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 24.9% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Trinh | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 16.1% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Dryer | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 39.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.