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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+5.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.73+5.18vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University-0.65+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+4.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.59+5.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.67+5.00vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.21+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.49vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.56+0.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-6.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.50-8.41vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.64-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.19-4.82vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.79-0.83vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.64-5.20vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-5.88vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-2.52-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at San Diego-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.96Santa Clara University-0.650.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.1%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.51University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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10.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Los Angeles0.110.2%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Berkeley0.500.2%1st Place
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10.8Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.8Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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13.63University of California at Santa Barbara-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Yong | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Dryer | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 15.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 24.1% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 38.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Trinh | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 20.4% | 28.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.